8-4 at best, 7-5 at worst

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Posted by BJDevil on June 20, 19 at 17:28:02:

In Reply to: Re: 2019 DEVILS posted by Sun Devil P.A.T. on June 19, 19 at 10:32:54:

I believe that we saw a good preview of 2019 against quality opponents in the bowl game. The offense will likely struggle at times without Harry there to make the spectacular catches. And Manny Wilkins was a seasoned warrior that was better than most (despite his weaknesses).

That doesn't mean ASU is toast. Under Herm, they're going to beat up on the lesser teams of the conference - especially at home. They just still have a glass ceiling of 8-9 games until they get everything put together, personnel-wise - and they're still not there yet.

Wins: Everyone at home. Either Cal or Oregon State on the road.

-- @Mich. St. (ASU finds a way to lose on the road in the Big 10 but then beats them in Tempe. The Devils just did it backwards this year.)
-- @Utah (Harsh payback is coming for their rough loss in Tempe last year and their general frustrations with not being able to beat ASU more.)
-- @UCLA (No good reason other than that ASU barely squeaked by the Bruins last year in a game that ASU was supposed to win easily. And ASU just struggles to win there historically.)
-- @Cal OR @Or. State (One of those two will surprise ASU on the road. @Cal if ASU loses to Colorado and MSU, @OSU if ASU loses to UCLA and USC the two weeks before at home and has 4+ losses already.) Maybe Herm and his staff help them avoid this embarrassing loss and they get to nine?

Bottom line: They'll take care of business at home, but lose the race for national consideration in September (at MSU), and the division title on the road by mid-November.

(This won't an indictment of Herm's ability to win on the road. It's just the way things will line up by chance.)

ASU will likely win 8 games - slightly above their historical average, but won't be enough to keep some less patient posters here from losing their shit about not enough progress being made.

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