Posted by mDEVIL! on May 02, 20 at 10:51:03:
In Reply to: Re: In Person Classes to Resume in the Fall posted by PowayDevil on May 02, 20 at 09:07:36:
As the charts attached say, and Fauchi, Birx, and others keep repeating nationally, focusing on the numb infected chart is misleading, as there is much more testing now. If you focus on the hospitalizations chart as it says on the chart, it shows a positive trend.
Re: curve flattening, it is amazing to me how so many people confuse the goal of flattening the curve with getting a literally flat or declining curve.
Flattening the curve was about making the slope less steep, to avoid a very high peak that might have overwhelmed the health care system. That has most certainly been achieved, is behind us now. The curve was flattened, and the health care system was not overwhelmed. It had nothing to do with actually making the curve literally flat.
Now the goals are different. We want declining hospitalizations, trips to the ICU, and death rates.
As we test more we will find more cases, but many will have no or mild symptoms.
We really need to get better at protecting the vulnerable, and that is now a focus, especially in nursing homes, though some states are doing better than others at it.
This first wave of the virus will not likely survive summer, so I think reopening campus in the Fall is a wise move.
TBD if we get another wave next Winter, but pretty sure we will be better prepared if we do, as we know much more now about how to approach it than we did when this wave began, and may have more treatments, etc by then.
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