Re: "Panic about nothing." An incredible...


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Posted by RJDevil on May 09, 20 at 14:04:42:

In Reply to: "Panic about nothing." An incredible... posted by Oside Devil on May 09, 20 at 11:12:49:

I think the point SDR is trying to make is that the per capita death rate is 0.00007. In other words, only one person in roughly 14,000 has died from this virus in the state of Arizona. And that is assuming that those deaths really did occur because of COVID19, a very questionable assumption given that health centers are incentivized with a $13K bonus for every claimed COVID19-related death reported.

The real problem with such numbers is they reliably indicate neither the virusís true transmissivity (risk of one becoming infected) nor its lethality (how likely is one to die from the virus if infected.)

To make matters worse, the numbers cannot even be calculated until reliable tests are available, properly administered, and the results reported promptly and faithfully.

How likely is that to happen with incentivization to bias cause-of-death claims?

If you think this all sounds overwhelming, donít even think about trying to predict or comprehend what the long term outcomes and effects on the world economy may be, based on the decisions that rely strongly and largely on these currently-unavailable numbers.

So, is sufficient risk posed by the (claimed) one-in-fourteen thousand per capita death rate that we should risk global economic collapse?

Tough question. Especially on a college football board.



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