Posted by mDEVIL! on June 26, 20 at 10:29:41:
In Reply to: Re: I'm aware of the reporting delay posted by Bubba on June 26, 20 at 09:28:09:
I'm not dismissing the numbers at all. In fact, I focus more than most on the actual data, try to tune out the spin machines & think for myself. Like all of us, I'm not always right.
The Maricopa hospitalizations curve I shared showed an uptick in hospitalizations, then a downward trend in the numbers actually in. I did not focus on the estimated ones in the lag period which may rise, but are not yet known.
I'm not sure why KTAR would have more current data than the county, with less lag, but who knows.
Re: the increased testing showing surging cases mostly among lower risk groups, I do think the testing is useful, as anyone who tests positive but is asymptomatic can and should take great care not to expose anyone else, especially those in the at-risk population, and without the test result, they would not know to take such care.
As far as those with symptoms, I would think anyone with even minor symptoms would already know to take these steps, test or not.
I simply don't think surging cases is anything to panic about, as many in the media seem to be, unless it translates to surging hospitalizations and deaths, especially to the point where hospital capacity is at risk, which I think is yet to happen. That was my primary point.
As far as building herd immunity, I just read Poway's link. It would be very unfortunate if that study is correct on short lived immunity. It certainly would raise the importance of a vaccine and better treatments, as we cannot count on the virus mutating into ineffectiveness like some of them do.
Not trying to be argumentative or disrespectful to anyone. Agree 100% on laughter & smiling. Always up for a good laugh. Love that scene ... "I'm not dead yet, I'm not. I think I'll go for a walk ...." :-)
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