Capitalizing on market inefficiency


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Posted by mDEVIL! on July 25, 20 at 12:59:19:

In Reply to: This is Luginbill's year posted by Big Ron on July 25, 20 at 11:34:26:

Interesting thoughts BR.

I think in any given year, reading a couple of chapters ahead probably pays off, as if you can evaluate guys and reach out to them earlier than other programs can, you have more opportunity to find gems, and get them to start thinking ASU. This year, even more so, since there is less information to evaluate, as you point out.

Like investing, where it is always easier to make money in inefficient markets, perhaps recruiting is analogous. We seem to have a great team in place to exploit this opportunity.

I think the opportunity is more to get ahead of other programs, less the recruiting star rating services, who I personally think are usually behind the schools, always seem to be playing catch up after offers come in rather than being the great forecasters people seem to think they are.

How many times have we offered someone with no stars, that suddenly has 3, or get a verbal from a 4 star that drops to 3. This just happened a couple weeks ago. The services think we are a 3 star program, so some of our verbals magically become 3 stars after the fact. The ones that stay 4 star have great offers sheets, simply cannot be dropped.

They think Alabama is a 4 to 5 star program, so their verbals often increase their star rating after the fact.

I think the stars are more reflective of the offer sheet than projective, but what do I know.

It does seem like our staff is ahead in their homework, perhaps doing a nice of exploiting the current situation. Hope so.




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