This is the right metric


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Posted by Gilbert_Sundevil on September 08, 20 at 14:34:07:

In Reply to: Something like 200k in "excess deaths" for 2020... posted by cudevil on September 08, 20 at 14:10:56:

"Excess Deaths" is the right metric and really the only way to quell the "with Covid" vs "from Covid" and the Under/Overcount debate.

Problem is we won't be able to use these numbers for at least a year or so to know if some deaths were "pulled forward" a few months.

IMO, we will likely see average excess deaths. If you graphed it out, it would be a big spike over the average line in Q2-Q3 2020 with a slight dip below the average line for 2021.


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